Tuesday, 9 August 2011

End of Second Week

Overall P&L = +£82.29
Week 2 P&L = -£77.34

Its been quite a hectic week for me both on and off the court. The blog posts have been rather thin on the ground for the week for 2 reasons. Firstly I have been away in London and secondly rain has caused havoc in both tournaments. This week players have been forced to play multiple matches on the same day and often having to wait long hours to get onto court. This has had a negative affect on my strategies resulting in a small loss this week. At one point I was that frustrated with waiting during rain delays I was considering leaving the betting for the week and focusing on something else.

I did however manage to complete 11 selections with the following results:

Chela to beat Gimeno Traver WON @ 1.4
Davydenko to beat Ebden WON @ 1.44
Lopez to beat Haase LOST @ 1.67
Monfils to beat Sweeting WON @ 1.33
Chela to beat Granollers WON @ 1.7
Davydenko to beat Verdasco LOST @ 2.37
Monfils to beat Tursunov WON @ 1.39
Chela to beat Montanes LOST @ 2
Monfils to beat Tipsarevic WON @ 1.55
Monils to beat Isner WON @ 1.76
Monfils to beat Stepanek LOST @ 1.5

My final loss of the week came in the final of Washington when I backed Monfils the top seed to finish the tournament off. This final match would finish the week either +£150 or -£77 depending on the outcome and unfortunately it was the latter. On the previous day Stepanek had an uninterrupted match and was done and dusted early afternoon. Monfils on the other hand had a tougher opponent in John Isner and due to constant rain delays the match was dragged out over 5 hours with constant stop starts. But -£77 for a week of weather mayhem is not too bad a result. Now onto this week.

This week sees the first ATP Masters 1000 event since back in May is is being played in Montreal Canada. This event will see the big 4 playing in their first events since Wimbledon and Andy Murray is bidding to win his 3 title here in as many years. A tall order however with Djokovic's current dominance still having only lost a single match all year and Raphael Nadal wanting to take back the number 1 ranking. And of course you cannot rule out Rodge Federer, the only man to beat the Djoker this year. Federer knows that if he is to reach his first Grand Slam final of 2011 then he needs to do some damage during this US Open hard court series.

As rule I tend to have 1 losing week in every 5 so fingers crossed this week for some better results.

Tuesday, 2 August 2011

Eagerly Awaiting Play

Unfortunately so far this week no selections have caught my eye. In the smaller tournaments such as the ones featuring this week it often takes a day or two before the seeds take to the stage. So for day 7 and day 8 there have been no bets. Tomorrow is certainly looking brighter however with 6 games shortlisted so far.

Sunday, 31 July 2011

Losers Are Like Buses

Overall P&L +£159.63
Week 1 Profit +£159.63

Since starting the challenge I have had no losing selections all the way up to the Saturday of the opening tournament and then like buses there is a batch of them. Due to a night out last night I was in no fit state to do a blog post so tonight I will be covering the last 2 nights action. Bets were as follows:

Day 5 P&L -£65.38

Del Potro to beat Gulbis @ 1.15 LOST
Youzhny to beat Granollers @ 1.71 LOST
Verdasco to beat Almagro @ 3.1 WON
Cilic to beat Fognini @ 1.53 WON
Ferrero to beat Dolgopolov @ 1.74 LOST

The first losing day but saved by a the Verdasco win at the generous price of 3.1.

Day 6 P&L -£300

Verdasco to beat Granollers @ 1.4 LOST
Cilic to beat Dolgopolov @ 1.74 LOST

The opening week saw a total of 17 selections of which 12 were winning bets. Bellow is the P&L screen shot for the the week. It was a disappointing end to the week but a profit overall none the less.

Friday, 29 July 2011

The Winners Keep On Coming

Overall P&L = +£525.01
Day 4 P&L = +£212.04

Four days into the challenge and I am still awaiting my first loss. Unfortunately it will come at some point :( Today saw 4 selections of which all bets won. I would like to talk a little more about the tennis on the blog rather than just the betting. Unfortunately as this weeks tournaments are only small 250s they are not televised so I have watched very little.

Today's results are as follows:

Youzhny to beat Haider-Maurer @ 1.28 WON
Verdasco to beat Benneteau @ 1.25 WON
Cilic to beat Seppi @ 1.54 WON
Ferrero to beat Berlocq @ 1.38 WON

There is so far looking to be 4/5 selections for tomorrow two of which are odds against :)

Enjoy the weekend all!

PS All emails received will be responded to by Sunday.

Thursday, 28 July 2011

Still 100% Winners

Overall P&L +£312.97
Day 3 P&L = +£115.53

We are now 3 days into the challenge and a total of 6 bets have been place and 6 winners have been claimed. There has been some rather tight clashes however. Today I backed Marin Cilic to beat Robin Haase and the Croat had to come from a set down to progress to the next round. 3 selections were made and as discussed yesterday 1 was in the early hours. I woke up this morning and checked my phone to see that Del Potro had comfortably seen off Blake in straight sets.

Today's selections were:

Juan Martin Del Potro to beat James Blake @ 1.21 WON
Fernando Verdasco to beat Federico Gil @ 1.23 WON
Marin Cilic to beat Robin Haase @ 1.35 WON
All rather short prices today but none the less proved good value.

Things are looking good for tomorrow with 5 selections currently shortlisted.

Wednesday, 27 July 2011

We Are Up And Running

Overall P&L = +£197.44
Day 2 P&L = +£175.50

Today saw 2 selections both of which turned out to be winning bets. The first in Switzerland was Mikhail Youzhny to beat Denis Istomin priced at 1.25 and in Croatia Juan Carlos Ferrero to beat Ivan Ljubicic on his home soil at 1.96. The Russian Youzhny won rather comfortably whilst Ferrero had to come from a set down to prevail. These combined selections produced a healthy profit of £175.50 after commission.

There is one other match that I will be betting on from today's fixture list but it is unfortunately in the early hours for me over in Los Angeles. My bet is placed and I will check the result when I get up tomorrow. The P&L for that match will be shown in tomorrows results.

Not a great deal of upsets so far this week. This morning Pablo Andujar priced at 1.26 was beaten by the German Matthias Bachinger which is the shortest price I have seen this week to fall.

I know this is only day 2 but this is a new best day since starting the challenge ;)

Tuesday, 26 July 2011

Day 1 Lets Play!

Apologies that it is so late in the season to start this but I do not want to wait until the start of the new tennis season. The rules have now changed in that I am now betting as opposed to trading for this challenge. For me an average week consists of both tennis trading and betting but due to working commitments I cannot do the level of trading required to complete this challenge over a realistic time period. Betting is less of an issue because I do not need to be as actively involved during games.

So, here's the deal. Every night I will be reviewing the following day's devising a list of betting selections. The next morning I will place those selections and post the results at the end of play. The majority of tennis bets will be placed using the exchanges Betfair and Betdaq but some specialty selections may be placed with bookmakers. The prices of my selections can be as short as 1.05 and as high as 10s but are usually just short of evens. Most of the selections will be individual match bets.

Ok so the first day is complete and the first P&L snapshot is ready for viewing. Just a single selection today which was Juan Carlos Ferrero to beat Maximo Gonzalez bringing in the first profit of £21.94. Looking at tomorrows fixture lists I am hoping for 2 to 3 games.

Day 1 P&L +£21.94